zsmingc
0x9c730b7fedb72d7724a7724329263e0a62e599c4
- Realised P&L
- $17.72
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $124.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.975 | $124.80 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.25at 0.960Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$1.68at 0.984US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?
- +$1.62at 0.986SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
- +$1.28at 0.965Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
- +$1.13at 0.990Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $3.50?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 05:41 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.979 | $30.64 |
| 10-02 02:42 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $30.13 |
| 09-16 01:16 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $122.62 |
| 08-09 11:58 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $121.16 |
| 07-12 01:13 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $120.15 |
| 07-05 01:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 06-22 01:03 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 06-13 10:52 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.998 | $109.78 |
| 06-13 10:52 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 06-06 13:06 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY | 0.986 | $98.60 |
| 05-22 00:55 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.983 | $75.88 |
| 05-22 00:54 | Trump out as President by May 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $117.76 |
| 05-01 12:08 | Will Solana dip to $50 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $116.88 |
| 04-21 01:12 | Will Netflix reach $368 in April? | BUY | 0.997 | $86.48 |
| 04-21 01:12 | Will Netflix reach $368 in April? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.65 |