PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zsmingc

0x9c730b7fedb72d7724a7724329263e0a62e599c4

Realised P&L
$17.72
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$124.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9790.975$124.80−$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 05:41Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?BUY0.979$30.64
10-02 02:42Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.965$30.13
09-16 01:16Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.958$122.62
08-09 11:58Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.954$121.16
07-12 01:13Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.993$120.15
07-05 01:29Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?BUY0.999$119.88
06-22 01:03Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?BUY0.999$119.88
06-13 10:52Will XRP dip to $0.80 June 8-14?BUY0.998$109.78
06-13 10:52Will XRP dip to $0.80 June 8-14?BUY0.997$9.97
06-06 13:06SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.986$98.60
05-22 00:55Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.983$75.88
05-22 00:54Trump out as President by May 31?SELL0.998$117.76
05-01 12:08Will Solana dip to $50 April 27-May 3?BUY0.999$116.88
04-21 01:12Will Netflix reach $368 in April?BUY0.997$86.48
04-21 01:12Will Netflix reach $368 in April?BUY0.994$9.65