0xmrg
0x9c65b20003964e28f02723e6677c1c4e470d845d
- Realised P&L
- $351.09
- Volume
- $121.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,756
- Open portfolio
- $155.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,756
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.853 | 0.858 | $62.47 | +$0.36 |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 · Yes | 0.480 | 0.480 | $36.21 | +$0.00 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.869 | 0.874 | $26.73 | +$0.13 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal | 0.390 | 0.275 | $11.00 | −$4.60 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal | 0.286 | 0.170 | $8.73 | −$5.96 |
| Hornets vs. Nets · Nets | 0.530 | 0.475 | $5.67 | −$0.66 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.200 | 0.140 | $1.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will a Western team win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $1.30 | −$0.10 |
| Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.006 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.043 | $0.43 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.02at 0.340Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?
- +$249.71at 0.580Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?
- +$247.58at 0.140Aces vs Valkyries
- +$217.44at 0.500Panthers vs. Oilers
- +$196.77at 0.220Pacers vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 21:36 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.88 |
| 10-21 11:47 | Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $36.21 |
| 10-21 11:30 | Hornets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.5299999657 | $6.33 |
| 10-21 11:28 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4399999865 | $10.46 |
| 10-20 20:13 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.881 | $25.90 |
| 10-20 19:49 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.881 | $13.21 |
| 10-20 17:27 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.59 |
| 10-20 14:17 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SELL | 0.22 | $8.80 |
| 10-20 14:13 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4699999966 | $11.21 |
| 10-20 13:55 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3899999887 | $3.79 |
| 10-19 23:51 | Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.469999965 | $5.24 |
| 10-19 14:13 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.75 |
| 10-19 14:04 | Esenler Erokspor vs. Anadolu Efes | BUY | 0.3899999887 | $3.79 |
| 10-18 19:07 | Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5326027208 | $7.20 |
| 10-18 18:44 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | SELL | 0.95 | $20.43 |