PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xmrg

0x9c65b20003964e28f02723e6677c1c4e470d845d

Realised P&L
$351.09
Volume
$121.5k
Markets traded
1,756
Open portfolio
$155.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,756
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8530.858$62.47+$0.36
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 · Yes0.4800.480$36.21+$0.00
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8690.874$26.73+$0.13
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal0.3900.275$11.00−$4.60
Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal0.2860.170$8.73−$5.96
Hornets vs. Nets · Nets0.5300.475$5.67−$0.66
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.2000.140$1.40−$0.60
Will a Western team win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$1.30−$0.10
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0060.006$1.08+$0.08
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0560.043$0.43−$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 21:36Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.16$2.88
10-21 11:47Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5BUY0.48$36.21
10-21 11:30Hornets vs. NetsBUY0.5299999657$6.33
10-21 11:28Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.4399999865$10.46
10-20 20:13Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.881$25.90
10-20 19:49Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.881$13.21
10-20 17:27Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.6$7.59
10-20 14:17Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.22$8.80
10-20 14:13Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.4699999966$11.21
10-20 13:5576ers vs. KnicksBUY0.3899999887$3.79
10-19 23:51Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesBUY0.469999965$5.24
10-19 14:13Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.24$9.75
10-19 14:04Esenler Erokspor vs. Anadolu EfesBUY0.3899999887$3.79
10-18 19:07Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5326027208$7.20
10-18 18:44LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InSELL0.95$20.43