0x9C54Fe02b3C95C1F411a2D6E8973D40632d91D08-1761255758230
0x9c54fe02b3c95c1f411a2d6e8973d40632d91d08
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $451.0k
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.150Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$537.76at 0.833Houston vs. Baylor
- +$519.33at 0.644Will Australia win?
- +$500.17at 0.916Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$465.47at 0.679Bengals vs. Ravens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $260.77 |
| 10-09 19:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $399.00 |
| 10-08 19:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $262.13 |
| 10-08 19:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2440671756 | $399.66 |
| 10-08 05:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $277.48 |
| 10-08 05:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $400.00 |
| 09-27 16:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $350.00 |
| 09-27 16:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $130.20 |
| 09-18 19:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999989 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 16:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 16:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.295 | $59.00 |
| 09-18 16:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1897345133 | $42.88 |
| 08-26 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 05:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $27.18 |
| 03-02 13:46 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |