Zangwilldf
0x9c4ff72a34c7ebf8412a074585fa1400260a0447
- Realised P&L
- $-21.33
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $16.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 16? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.998 | $16.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.40 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.20 |
| Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.39 |
| Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) · Ecuador | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.08 |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · GamerLegion | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.55at 0.500Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$84.15at 0.500Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$35.04at 0.447Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic
- +$32.37at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$28.54at 0.500Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 02:00 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $16.99 |
| 09-15 02:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.00 |
| 09-15 01:59 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $16.98 |
| 09-15 01:59 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $15.39 |
| 09-15 01:57 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.00 |
| 09-08 02:02 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $17.70 |
| 08-18 09:17 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.24 | $14.16 |
| 08-06 01:57 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.54 | $20.20 |
| 07-24 09:45 | Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $57.93 |
| 07-24 09:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.2 | $13.40 |
| 07-24 09:42 | Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 07-24 09:41 | Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.00 |
| 07-01 03:16 | Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.48 |
| 06-15 03:26 | Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $35.08 |
| 05-25 07:51 | Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic | BUY | 0.44 | $27.90 |