PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

theriddlerx

0x9c4ee437024f3d4e398af823ccf78e48bb26fbbb

Realised P&L
$9.11
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$11.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5801.000$8.62+$3.62
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes0.2870.159$1.66$1.34
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6000.100$0.83$4.17
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$5.36
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.86
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSELL0.96$5.16
08-31 16:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.9299999888$5.00
08-31 15:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-31 15:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
08-31 15:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.006999993$1.00
07-04 16:39Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$2.86
07-04 16:38Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.1899999734$5.36
04-06 01:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETBUY0.4099999836$4.58
04-06 01:26Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.3099999364$1.80
04-06 01:25Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.32$4.51
04-06 01:23Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.17$0.83
04-06 01:22Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.3699999112$1.82
03-02 13:59Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.599999976$5.00
03-02 13:56Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.1899999569$3.00
02-28 06:53US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9699999331$10.00