Mrxrp
0x9c4aa66653cfdc5b680f62d81ad050442c2a7fca
- Realised P&L
- $-884.54
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $652.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.690 | $231.70 | −$9.95 |
| Beezie FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.625 | $148.81 | −$13.10 |
| Will Beezie launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.745 | 0.500 | $86.08 | −$42.18 |
| Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.473 | 0.250 | $75.00 | −$67.00 |
| Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.951 | $36.12 | −$0.36 |
| Beezie FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.600 | $30.60 | +$6.12 |
| Beezie FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.275 | $17.95 | −$2.29 |
| Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.655 | $16.38 | +$1.38 |
| Beezie FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.205 | $10.25 | +$2.65 |
| Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.05 |
| Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.98at 0.386Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?
- +$106.99at 0.860Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$55.86at 0.826Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$47.12at 0.940MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
- +$36.00at 0.880Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:15 | Will Beezie launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6879457683 | $16.74 |
| 09-25 13:15 | Will Beezie launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $32.51 |
| 09-09 04:58 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $1.63 |
| 08-16 00:55 | Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $87.39 |
| 08-15 12:09 | Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0595367687 | $3.33 |
| 08-15 12:06 | Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2596774194 | $8.05 |
| 08-14 05:45 | Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6345799359 | $69.26 |
| 08-13 13:24 | Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 08-13 13:24 | Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 08-09 10:06 | Over $2M committed to the Ryvo public sale? | BUY | 0.95 | $65.03 |
| 08-09 10:06 | Over $1.5M committed to the Ryvo public sale? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.42 |
| 08-09 10:06 | Over $1.5M committed to the Ryvo public sale? | BUY | 0.94 | $76.14 |
| 08-09 10:06 | Over $1M committed to the Ryvo public sale? | BUY | 0.92 | $37.71 |
| 08-06 03:31 | Beezie FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.48 |
| 08-05 02:21 | Beezie FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.31 | $72.94 |