BartJ.Simpson
0x9c412cb091466b6eb59e027e9966de40acfdd446
- Realised P&L
- $240.83
- Volume
- $154.5k
- Markets traded
- 500
- Open portfolio
- $307.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded500
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.575 | $132.25 | +$28.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.375 | $63.75 | +$9.35 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $34.10 | −$15.50 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.029 | $28.50 | −$21.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.255 | $25.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.165 | $16.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.170 | $6.68 | +$0.39 |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? · No | 0.004 | 0.103 | $0.28 | +$0.27 |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.91at 0.060Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?
- +$47.21at 0.002Will the US strike Iraq next?
- +$31.60at 0.803Will Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
- +$28.23at 0.700Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$15.54at 0.797Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 14:33 | Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 06-11 05:58 | Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 05:57 | Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.26 |
| 06-09 19:58 | Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:58 | Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:54 | Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:54 | Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:53 | Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 19:52 | Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |