BartJ.Simpson
0x9c412cb091466b6eb59e027e9966de40acfdd446
- Realised P&L
- $36.60
- Volume
- $157.6k
- Markets traded
- 501
- Open portfolio
- $93.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded501
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.095 | $41.16 | −$84.33 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.115 | $26.45 | −$77.05 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.050 | $15.00 | −$33.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$10.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$15.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.93at 0.060Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?
- +$91.78at 0.614Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$58.00at 0.018Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?
- +$47.21at 0.002Will the US strike Iraq next?
- +$31.60at 0.803Will Marc-André ter Stegen sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 17:45 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.04 |
| 06-11 14:33 | Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 06-11 05:58 | Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 05:57 | Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.26 |
| 06-09 19:58 | Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:58 | Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:55 | Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:54 | Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:54 | Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 19:53 | Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |