0x9c3d67382ffc47fe826451fbb915e2c067fe9931
0x9c3d67382ffc47fe826451fbb915e2c067fe9931
- Realised P&L
- $-38.21
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $71.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 9? · No | 0.746 | 0.770 | $24.61 | +$0.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? · No | 0.660 | 0.625 | $12.50 | −$0.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 9? · No | 0.510 | 0.505 | $10.10 | −$0.10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.490 | $9.80 | −$1.40 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.435 | $8.70 | +$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.160 | $2.29 | −$0.64 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.095 | $1.90 | −$3.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 9? · No | 0.661 | 0.655 | $1.13 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.50at 0.190Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 7?
- +$13.03at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 9?
- +$9.99at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?
- +$8.24at 0.560Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 7?
- +$5.09at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 4? | SELL | 0.9031746032 | $56.90 |