Tagan1
0x9c2972210cc17579f3773ed586bea47656f18c43
- Realised P&L
- $10.4k
- Volume
- $2.15M
- Markets traded
- 677
- Open portfolio
- $33.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded677
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.073 | $33.95 | +$13.95 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.064Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
- +$4.2kat 0.020Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.155Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.321Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.237Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 04:13 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0433042865 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 02:52 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.0395719855 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 05:30 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 21:44 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.00176304 | $1.11 |
| 09-21 21:43 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 13:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 01:38 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0316596587 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.00178704 | $0.45 |
| 09-09 01:20 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.035 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 01:18 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.011005781 | $12.68 |
| 09-07 20:52 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0130202198 | $15.00 |
| 09-07 20:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $11.54 |
| 09-07 18:01 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.0036149673 | $1.95 |
| 09-06 14:20 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $40.00 |
| 09-06 14:19 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.0129063615 | $6.95 |