PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Vanchalkenstein

0x9c16127eccf031df45461ef1e04b52ea286a09cb

Realised P&L
$-1.13M
Volume
$62.95M
Markets traded
750
Open portfolio
$16.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded750
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7100.715$15.7k+$109.45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1760.024$843.01−$5.5k
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$6.8k
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$56.0k
Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagal · Sumit Nagal0.3400.000$0.00−$679.99
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Daniil Medvedev0.5600.000$0.00−$35.5k
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.4880.000$0.00−$84.9k
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar0.6500.000$0.00−$257.40
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B · EDward Gaming0.2800.000$0.00−$5.6k
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$1.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 16:30Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5BUY0.47$21.9k
10-05 10:22China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil MedvedevBUY0.56$18.1k
10-01 10:40Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael JodarBUY0.65$3.25
09-20 15:30Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.49$434.93
09-20 11:21Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.56$5.7k
09-20 11:21Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.56$10.8k
09-13 09:15Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.586$5.6k
09-06 13:23Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.062$0.98
09-04 11:35Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.062$35.02
08-18 17:04Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?BUY0.3$1.6k
08-18 16:57Sion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin HemeryBUY0.5$25.0k
08-18 09:02Will Thailand vs. Singapore end in a draw?BUY0.78$860.32
08-17 19:38Will CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?BUY0.68$72.04
08-17 17:28Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5BUY0.56$2.4k
08-17 17:26Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois BoissonBUY0.8$1.2k
Trader Vanchalkenstein · PolyBot Pro