amusjfz1b0rh
0x9c15d19bf008f6951652d0cdba8a32d329b9f9e9
- Realised P&L
- $-28.62
- Volume
- $849.66
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $12.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No | 0.732 | 0.957 | $5.51 | +$1.29 |
| Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.925 | 0.960 | $2.68 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.955 | $2.48 | +$0.04 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.525 | $1.07 | −$0.13 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.055 | $0.98 | −$1.86 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No | 0.395 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.54at 0.230Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$17.26at 0.367Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?
- +$16.14at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 16?
- +$14.81at 0.396Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 15?
- +$2.25at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 04:09 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.3949999361 | $1.36 |
| 08-01 02:52 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.33 |
| 05-05 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5? | BUY | 0.1399999117 | $1.30 |
| 05-05 11:05 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.05 |
| 05-05 09:35 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.48 |
| 05-04 10:25 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.00 |
| 05-04 02:47 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.07 |
| 05-03 18:33 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.08 |
| 05-03 16:26 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.05 |
| 05-03 10:24 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.00 |
| 04-26 21:19 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.00 |
| 04-26 18:25 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.02 |
| 04-26 16:59 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.02 |
| 04-26 11:53 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.00 |
| 04-24 20:58 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.00 |