PolyBot

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Traders

kefirsky

0x9c14434c1d6e1f9a276dcef5abb2a080b6a93371

Realised P&L
$-4.5k
Volume
$36.5k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8970.825$1.0k−$90.25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.9400.910$728.00−$24.00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No0.6100.670$335.00+$30.00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? · Yes0.8800.795$238.50−$25.50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.9590.959$99.74+$0.01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5900.525$89.25−$11.05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.6700.735$77.17+$6.83
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? · Yes0.4900.450$70.65−$6.28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · Yes0.4600.415$41.50−$4.50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4250.345$24.83−$5.74
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? · Yes0.3200.240$14.40−$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 08:13US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9589038462$99.73
10-29 10:14Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?BUY0.49$76.93
10-29 10:12Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?BUY0.32$16.00
10-29 09:58US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.46$46.00
10-29 09:53US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.61$305.00
10-29 09:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.59$100.30
10-29 09:49US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?SELL0.994$546.70
10-26 15:53US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.67$70.35
10-26 15:51Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.94$752.00
10-26 15:40US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.94$517.00
10-26 15:29Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?BUY0.88$264.00
10-26 15:29Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.92$1.0k
10-24 08:36Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.005$0.27
10-24 08:36Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.0073477757$4.56
10-24 08:35US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?SELL0.73$897.90