lighteredgex
0x9c1059f5a69dbeab415ed7fbd957d54cd3ec888e
- Realised P&L
- $-639.68
- Volume
- $145.1k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $150.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.070 | $74.15 | −$122.96 |
| Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.065 | $32.50 | −$77.50 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.065 | $32.50 | −$67.50 |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $11.00 | −$65.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.00at 0.860Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$12.29at 0.940Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$10.00at 0.002Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.00at 0.001Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.00at 0.002Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-03 01:07 | Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.449209 | $89.84 |
| 01-31 09:19 | Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1743 | $17.43 |
| 01-25 11:44 | Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 01-21 02:44 | Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4391559156 | $43.91 |
| 01-18 12:43 | Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9417174846 | $100.00 |
| 01-18 12:42 | Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.939 | $11.19 |
| 01-15 05:47 | Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.81 | $20.25 |
| 01-11 03:06 | Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.64 | $18.41 |
| 01-09 04:41 | Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 01-09 04:41 | Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.57 | $16.40 |
| 12-26 05:36 | Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-05 02:32 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 11-30 04:04 | Will Solana reach $310 before 2026? | SELL | 0.0098062438 | $36.96 |
| 11-25 04:51 | Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | SELL | 0.0386844627 | $232.10 |
| 11-18 03:09 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |