PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

opulent

0x9c0f44a1168c4ff3afe3617a7c10560abe097b84

Realised P&L
$-47.7k
Volume
$1.74M
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3450.075$6.0k$21.8k
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$53.6k
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$153.66
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$14.13
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5) · Cowboys0.5000.000$0.00$11.9k
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.4500.000$0.00$38.2k
Alabama vs. Oklahoma · Oklahoma0.5800.000$0.00$454.17
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00$36.90
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$9.8k
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$2.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 18:21Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2469096306$12.5k
02-28 17:17Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5384823533$2.0k
02-28 16:11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.4969200643$14.1k
02-28 13:21Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.47$194.24
01-15 04:05Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.054812554$4.60
01-14 21:18Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.0570489273$1.8k
01-14 20:41Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.054$120.85
01-14 20:38Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.48$241.56
01-14 13:24Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4696356756$1.5k
01-13 19:06Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.052$86.14
01-13 19:02Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.5599848988$7.1k
01-13 19:01Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.326$36.90
01-13 18:13Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.051$64.61
01-12 04:07Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2199999996$356.57
01-12 04:06Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.22$39.6k