opulent
0x9c0f44a1168c4ff3afe3617a7c10560abe097b84
- Realised P&L
- $-47.7k
- Volume
- $1.74M
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.075 | $6.0k | −$21.8k |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.6k |
| Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$153.66 |
| Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.13 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-1.5) · Cowboys | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.9k |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.2k |
| Alabama vs. Oklahoma · Oklahoma | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$454.17 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.90 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.8k |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.8kat 0.550Spread: Eagles (-6.5)
- +$24.9kat 0.754Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?
- +$24.5kat 0.760Eagles vs. Commanders
- +$15.5kat 0.125Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$3.6kat 0.220Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 18:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.2469096306 | $12.5k |
| 02-28 17:17 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.5384823533 | $2.0k |
| 02-28 16:11 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.4969200643 | $14.1k |
| 02-28 13:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.47 | $194.24 |
| 01-15 04:05 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.054812554 | $4.60 |
| 01-14 21:18 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.0570489273 | $1.8k |
| 01-14 20:41 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $120.85 |
| 01-14 20:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $241.56 |
| 01-14 13:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4696356756 | $1.5k |
| 01-13 19:06 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $86.14 |
| 01-13 19:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5599848988 | $7.1k |
| 01-13 19:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.326 | $36.90 |
| 01-13 18:13 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.051 | $64.61 |
| 01-12 04:07 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2199999996 | $356.57 |
| 01-12 04:06 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $39.6k |