PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Oakley9

0x9c0e01196fc6e1474f77365bd80441a24a3d4534

Realised P&L
$-465.69
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$0.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration86.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0180.009$0.17$0.19
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5) · FC Nantes0.0180.000$0.00$17.62
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5) · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC0.0360.000$0.00$35.60
Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5) · FC Fredericia0.0900.000$0.00$83.79
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · No0.9100.000$0.00$364.00
Spread: US Lecce (-2.5) · US Lecce0.0310.000$0.00$29.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 02:40Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.99$465.30
07-25 01:54Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.971$456.37
07-10 06:29NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$329.00
06-02 08:20Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?BUY0.91$364.00
04-23 05:36Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?SELL0.124$8.68
04-23 05:34Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?SELL0.125$62.50
04-23 05:34Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?SELL0.125$58.50
04-22 07:00Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?SELL0.05$0.30
04-22 07:00Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?SELL0.05$23.00
04-22 07:00Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?SELL0.05$27.60
04-21 09:25Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?SELL0.036$17.93
04-21 09:25Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?SELL0.037$18.24
04-20 05:50EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?SELL0.036$16.20
04-20 05:50EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?SELL0.037$18.13