Oakley9
0x9c0e01196fc6e1474f77365bd80441a24a3d4534
- Realised P&L
- $-465.69
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.009 | $0.17 | −$0.19 |
| Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5) · FC Nantes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.62 |
| Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5) · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.60 |
| Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5) · FC Fredericia | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.79 |
| Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$364.00 |
| Spread: US Lecce (-2.5) · US Lecce | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.13at 0.067Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.93at 0.971Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
- +$0.49at 0.036Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.050Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
- +$-0.45at 0.037EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 02:40 | Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $465.30 |
| 07-25 01:54 | Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.971 | $456.37 |
| 07-10 06:29 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $329.00 |
| 06-02 08:20 | Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? | BUY | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 04-23 05:36 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.124 | $8.68 |
| 04-23 05:34 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.125 | $62.50 |
| 04-23 05:34 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.125 | $58.50 |
| 04-22 07:00 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.30 |
| 04-22 07:00 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $23.00 |
| 04-22 07:00 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $27.60 |
| 04-21 09:25 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $17.93 |
| 04-21 09:25 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $18.24 |
| 04-20 05:50 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | SELL | 0.036 | $16.20 |
| 04-20 05:50 | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | SELL | 0.037 | $18.13 |