0x9c0cEb4ED40ea556C19910eA8D33505c160B9410-1772296860977
0x9c0ceb4ed40ea556c19910ea8d33505c160b9410
- Realised P&L
- $-3.29
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $16.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $16.92 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.76at 0.975Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$0.30at 0.990Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 1?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.12at 0.992Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5?
- +$0.07at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 07-03 06:51 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-22 07:57 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 05-19 04:14 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.84 |
| 05-11 08:15 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $7.47 |
| 04-25 04:13 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $8.82 |
| 04-23 08:12 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.90 |
| 04-22 09:02 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.87 |
| 04-21 08:23 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.12 |
| 04-20 07:48 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 03-18 03:58 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.972 | $607.50 |
| 03-17 09:07 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.978 | $13.69 |
| 02-12 01:06 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9745349573 | $28.94 |