0x9C0AAb07B1188B83b9461da7898169909d864e5B-1770858169428
0x9c0aab07b1188b83b9461da7898169909d864e5b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.90
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $16.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.996 | 0.996 | $16.93 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.11at 0.993Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 7?
- +$0.09at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 20?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 10?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.996 | $16.93 |
| 07-03 06:51 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-22 07:58 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 05-19 04:14 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.76 |
| 05-11 08:16 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $7.56 |
| 04-25 04:13 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $8.54 |
| 04-23 08:12 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.81 |
| 04-22 09:03 | Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.73 |
| 04-21 08:24 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $9.79 |
| 04-20 07:48 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.76 |
| 03-18 03:58 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.972 | $624.02 |
| 03-17 09:07 | Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.978 | $627.88 |
| 02-28 16:41 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.939 | $22.67 |
| 02-12 01:06 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.95 | $22.94 |