ytbfgd
0x9c09e740e06edab783774e17b521b3924fb52854
- Realised P&L
- $-42.09
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $176.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.76at 0.440Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$21.95at 0.561Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$16.42at 0.762Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$8.65at 0.610Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?
- +$6.00at 0.900Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $680M?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 11:32 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | BUY | 0.989 | $108.79 |
| 03-05 11:32 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $169.15 |
| 01-16 15:17 | Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16? | BUY | 0.61 | $13.54 |
| 01-16 15:13 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.44 | $31.24 |
| 01-16 15:12 | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.762 | $52.58 |