misty05
0x9c03267f7cb3f155970510b3a98bd77f279d9ef9
- Realised P&L
- $0.65
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $15.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever · Minnesota Lynx | 0.500 | 0.495 | $11.31 | −$0.11 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.295 | $3.67 | −$0.19 |
| Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.015 | $0.10 | −$2.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.41at 0.290Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$16.00at 0.428Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14?
- +$15.88at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?
- +$14.35at 0.493Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 28?
- +$11.82at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:24 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999976 | $3.86 |
| 09-21 23:22 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.5 | $11.42 |
| 09-18 04:50 | Colorado vs. Northwestern | BUY | 0.6299999881 | $11.13 |
| 09-16 11:16 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3499999929 | $2.47 |
| 09-16 11:14 | ELH: Olomouc vs. Sparta Prague | BUY | 0.6799999986 | $19.30 |
| 09-14 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.4155760032 | $11.62 |
| 09-09 07:51 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5629999898 | $3.87 |
| 09-09 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 9? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.80 |
| 09-06 17:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 09-02 19:18 | Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.7599999802 | $4.61 |
| 09-02 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.2299999836 | $8.84 |
| 08-31 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.3699999859 | $11.30 |
| 08-28 01:25 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1462499396 | $1.95 |
| 08-26 00:27 | Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.3399999721 | $7.56 |
| 08-24 01:27 | Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.2099999355 | $2.05 |