0x9C02c6277cB5a9C987461de41c90Ea96aC1A94d0-1735387572446
0x9c02c6277cb5a9c987461de41c90ea96ac1a94d0
- Realised P&L
- $-18.36
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $12.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.995 | 1.000 | $12.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.994 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 22?
- +$0.16at 0.993Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$0.16at 0.993Will Solana reach $160 in August?
- +$0.14at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 4?
- +$0.13at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 17:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.00 |
| 10-18 02:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9939999677 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 11:01 | Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15? | BUY | 0.9979999084 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 01:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.30 |
| 10-08 04:09 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $23.60 |
| 10-07 01:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 00:24 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $17.90 |
| 10-01 06:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.00 |
| 09-28 04:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999606 | $25.20 |
| 09-26 04:15 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.00 |
| 09-22 00:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.50 |
| 09-21 16:53 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999855 | $24.00 |
| 09-18 18:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9979999697 | $26.00 |
| 09-14 16:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 07:27 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.00 |