0x9C00c8DF4A369946D3D474F62577b4e07C9a261e-1780485602449
0x9c00c8df4a369946d3d474f62577b4e07c9a261e
- Realised P&L
- $-32.02
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $13.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.557 | 0.605 | $9.07 | +$0.72 |
| Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.245 | $4.72 | −$1.82 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.08 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.54 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 10:10 | Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 10:21 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 06-15 14:03 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 14:51 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 06-04 05:24 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011999994 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 16:13 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999993 | $25.00 |