0x9bfe11769b9829e4b521664edd977c4e25b241d7
0x9bfe11769b9829e4b521664edd977c4e25b241d7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.43
- Volume
- $274.27
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $2.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.308 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? · No | 0.640 | 0.635 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.190 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$2.11at 0.492Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:30 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3039999708 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:05 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:42 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 19:27 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 11:27 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:36 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:21 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:10 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:13 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:08 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |