0x9bfd28e1f8502c03171dc8227e6dea265e73a7a1
0x9bfd28e1f8502c03171dc8227e6dea265e73a7a1
- Realised P&L
- $-492.75
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $32.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.030 | $22.50 | −$52.50 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.065 | $7.22 | −$2.78 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $1.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.044 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.025 | $0.41 | −$1.59 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Panthers vs. Eagles · Eagles | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.78at 0.090Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$19.28at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$17.19at 0.381Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$16.05at 0.117Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$13.95at 0.190Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 17:56 | Panthers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 14:29 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 14:27 | Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 09:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 09:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 07:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |