0x9bf8848e3953f2253123cc698553ddeef969d520
0x9bf8848e3953f2253123cc698553ddeef969d520
- Realised P&L
- $12.34
- Volume
- $291.42
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $24.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.168 | 1.000 | $18.93 | +$15.75 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.030 | $5.78 | −$16.71 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 12:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999598 | $3.18 |
| 05-20 12:39 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0397800663 | $3.30 |
| 05-20 12:35 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1186577753 | $22.49 |