c0manch3
0x9be2f856b18d78bfe63a8fe9c549f6ac870f6ad6
- Realised P&L
- $-776.23
- Volume
- $37.0k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $10.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.19at 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
- +$67.22at 0.648Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?
- +$15.83at 0.240Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 in November?
- +$14.75at 0.410US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$11.40at 0.720Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 20:31 | Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $13.04 |
| 05-11 20:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 05-11 20:25 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.976 | $97.60 |
| 03-02 19:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 01-22 15:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 22? | SELL | 0.032 | $8.88 |
| 01-22 12:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.03870549 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 07:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.0721069521 | $20.00 |
| 01-21 17:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $332.19 |
| 01-21 11:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21? | BUY | 0.0902195682 | $30.00 |
| 01-19 05:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 01-19 05:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.0349999967 | $10.00 |
| 01-19 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.0125046776 | $10.00 |
| 01-19 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 01-19 05:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.75 |
| 01-15 08:32 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.21 |