WeatheDisaster
0x9bddbd899c4fd5f38a27f180dfbea5726dc40872
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $40.0k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $312.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.50at 0.256Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$236.95at 0.555Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?
- +$133.64at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?
- +$129.43at 0.578Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$127.97at 0.308Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:57 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $598.20 |
| 09-13 18:56 | Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $610.35 |
| 09-13 17:40 | Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5899999994 | $356.56 |
| 09-13 17:36 | Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) | SELL | 0.09 | $49.42 |
| 09-13 17:35 | Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $305.66 |
| 09-13 17:33 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $312.63 |
| 09-13 14:24 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $266.00 |
| 09-13 13:56 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.98 | $100.22 |
| 09-13 13:53 | FC Zurich vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $95.90 |
| 09-13 13:40 | Sheffield United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $71.35 |
| 09-13 12:49 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5 | $339.19 |
| 09-13 12:21 | Sheffield United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 11:54 | FC Zurich vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $48.00 |
| 09-13 11:52 | SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 11:51 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4899999993 | $82.00 |