squaredcircle
0x9bdcea11dc58ac6a1fe1175b654feebb0634d95e
- Realised P&L
- $25.31
- Volume
- $336.9k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $204.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.74at 0.032Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$146.08at 0.120Will a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in May?
- +$84.35at 0.456Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
- +$72.24at 0.570Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?
- +$30.00at 0.850Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-05 08:58 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | BUY | 0.47 | $95.41 |
| 01-05 08:58 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.45 |
| 01-05 08:57 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.30 |
| 01-05 08:57 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.18 |
| 01-05 08:57 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.16 | $32.48 |
| 10-13 10:19 | Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 08-31 09:33 | WLFI market cap (FDV) $12-14B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.23 |
| 08-31 09:32 | WLFI market cap (FDV) $10-12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.98 |
| 08-31 09:32 | WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.021 | $2.60 |
| 08-31 09:32 | WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $115.32 |
| 08-20 08:01 | Bitcoin above $120K on August 22? | BUY | 0.974 | $165.58 |
| 08-20 08:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122K on August 22? | BUY | 0.0041176471 | $0.70 |
| 08-20 08:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $122K on August 22? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.55 |
| 06-16 15:35 | Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15? | BUY | 0.0289404762 | $4.86 |
| 06-16 15:35 | Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15? | BUY | 0.0757559524 | $12.73 |