emapol2
0x9bcb4e1242f4fc8148e5dec28cd150c60e4aeefd
- Realised P&L
- $-81.11
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $18.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.013Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-11 17:05 | Will Lana Del Rey release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.84 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.78 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.42 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.97 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.10 |
| 02-11 17:05 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.21 |