Sam21BTC
0x9bc7deb7c6ef447dbd6512087979aca813be2229
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $113.6k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $427.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.21at 0.185Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?
- +$180.59at 0.741Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP
- +$129.69at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$122.44at 0.516Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-11?
- +$75.00at 0.170Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:57 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.75 | $49.50 |
| 09-11 07:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.79 | $24.81 |
| 09-11 07:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-08 13:43 | Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.87 | $136.68 |
| 09-08 13:40 | Will Jong Ajax Amsterdam win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.41 |
| 09-08 13:37 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 13:37 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 09-08 13:36 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 09-05 18:10 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.24 | $20.98 |
| 09-05 15:04 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.37 | $32.35 |
| 09-05 15:00 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.082 | $1.87 |
| 09-05 15:00 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.084 | $2.60 |
| 09-05 15:00 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.085 | $2.55 |
| 09-05 14:59 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.081 | $4.05 |
| 09-05 14:59 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.082 | $0.91 |