PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sam21BTC

0x9bc7deb7c6ef447dbd6512087979aca813be2229

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$114.6k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$217.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8060.904$138.66+$15.15
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7500.055$15.40−$194.60
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6820.046$14.69−$200.86
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.5720.028$11.69−$226.93
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1900.225$11.25+$1.75
Will Ajax win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship? · Yes0.0600.104$10.45+$4.45
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1600.125$6.25−$1.75
Will Ajax win the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · Yes0.1600.195$4.88+$0.88
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0500.045$4.50−$0.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4210.000$0.00−$84.20
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$7.00
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$12.47
Will Jong Ajax Amsterdam win on 2026-09-11? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$8.41
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$14.78
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?SELL0.1$0.21
10-06 19:23Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?SELL0.19$19.00
09-13 17:57Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.75$49.50
09-11 07:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.79$24.81
09-11 07:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?BUY0.95$19.00
09-08 13:43Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.87$136.68
09-08 13:40Will Jong Ajax Amsterdam win on 2026-09-11?BUY0.29$8.41
09-08 13:37Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.05$5.00
09-08 13:37Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.19$9.50
09-08 13:36Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.16$8.00
09-05 18:10Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-05?SELL0.24$20.98
09-05 15:04Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.37$32.35
09-05 15:00Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.082$1.87
09-05 15:00Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.084$2.60
09-05 15:00Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.085$2.55