0x9bc6e207fdb6b5e71ae830fbef9841ef0eadcb91
0x9bc6e207fdb6b5e71ae830fbef9841ef0eadcb91
- Realised P&L
- $-3.85
- Volume
- $232.71
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $1.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6? · Down | 0.370 | 0.330 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.585 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.43at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.329SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$3.13at 0.329Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.61at 0.369Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 06:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:17 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 10:00 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:26 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:44 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:19 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:18 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:10 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:00 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:30 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9799991964 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:13 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:12 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.49 |