0x9bc1a1b253cb88164e98150547ba52163d1d2a99
0x9bc1a1b253cb88164e98150547ba52163d1d2a99
- Realised P&L
- $-11.48
- Volume
- $397.49
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $74.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beezie FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.590 | $47.78 | −$12.39 |
| Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.655 | $19.65 | −$4.35 |
| Beezie FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.225 | $6.75 | +$1.05 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.60 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.10at 0.854GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 12:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.16 |
| 07-16 12:48 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |