Stellawanglau
0x9bb90350b869e59130e9d729959e924485dbd9da
- Realised P&L
- $-423.67
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $119.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.875 | $32.65 | +$7.65 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 1.000 | $29.85 | +$9.85 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference? · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $28.99 | +$8.99 |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.594 | 0.150 | $7.58 | −$22.42 |
| Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.807 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.99 |
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 11? · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.99at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 04:17 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 11? | BUY | 0.3299999959 | $30.00 |
| 05-11 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 02:02 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.6699999794 | $25.00 |
| 05-11 02:00 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.5935050759 | $30.00 |
| 05-11 01:54 | Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.1090926165 | $50.00 |
| 05-11 01:53 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1016060204 | $30.00 |
| 05-11 01:35 | Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299295304 | $300.00 |
| 05-11 01:34 | Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8068191304 | $30.00 |
| 05-11 01:23 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 01:22 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 01:20 | Cerebras IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |