0x9bb8405c727673157b563a348a03de8678bdba10
- Realised P&L
- $39.92
- Volume
- $866.47
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $29.57
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.685 | $10.54 | +$0.54 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.928 | 0.965 | $10.34 | +$0.39 |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.805 | $5.23 | +$0.23 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.935 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.668 | 0.254 | $0.76 | −$1.24 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.065 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.691 | 0.164 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.41at 0.170Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$16.48at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$9.23at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$6.46at 0.720Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 22:27 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7729998466 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 08:53 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 06:44 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.9399999774 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 06:42 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 06:42 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7324999597 | $3.00 |
| 07-10 22:55 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5174999902 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:33 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:33 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:32 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 16:02 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 07:23 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 07:23 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 15:33 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 15:33 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 09:10 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999896 | $16.61 |