MarcTwixxx
0x9bb70f68ea6f94036e110cbc7f3a3cd32fb245de
- Realised P&L
- $-165.08
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $197.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.986 | 0.999 | $49.92 | +$0.63 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.991 | $49.52 | +$1.07 |
| Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.989 | $49.42 | +$0.47 |
| Ben Pasternak jailed? · No | 0.973 | 0.978 | $48.90 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.430Royals vs. Cubs
- +$945.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on July 18?
- +$922.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 12?
- +$429.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on June 25?
- +$327.07at 0.820Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 13:56 | Royals vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.43 | $903.00 |
| 07-17 11:48 | XRP Up or Down on July 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $478.00 |
| 07-11 13:48 | Solana Up or Down on July 12? | BUY | 0.5 | $468.00 |
| 07-04 08:27 | Solana Up or Down on July 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $950.00 |
| 05-07 07:12 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $1.5k |