0x9baf7428c4e28090ae7aef5bd863614a2a2c715c
0x9baf7428c4e28090ae7aef5bd863614a2a2c715c
- Realised P&L
- $-43.32
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $3.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.49at 0.104Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
- +$9.22at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?
- +$4.51at 0.146Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?
- +$4.48at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
- +$4.44at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:52 | Bears vs. Packers: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.5199998891 | $1.50 |
| 10-06 13:04 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.5199998891 | $1.50 |
| 10-06 00:17 | Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+3.5) | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $1.50 |
| 10-05 23:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.39 |
| 08-10 06:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299996154 | $2.37 |
| 08-09 21:12 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.7799999168 | $1.50 |
| 08-09 20:47 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.3399999348 | $2.92 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.85 |
| 08-06 05:28 | Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5799998763 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 05:22 | Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5799998763 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 05:06 | Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.5799998763 | $1.50 |
| 08-06 04:52 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.08 |
| 07-25 20:09 | San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5699998784 | $1.50 |
| 07-25 20:09 | San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5699998784 | $1.50 |
| 07-25 19:57 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.27 |