0x9baD119382D392Abad7617714Aad2F16c826E98d-1768672572437
0x9bad119382d392abad7617714aad2f16c826e98d
- Realised P&L
- $-184.17
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $2.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.16at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$31.56at 0.087Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.57at 0.035Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$26.54at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
- +$20.76at 0.241Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 19:45 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31? | SELL | 0.096 | $5.65 |
| 08-31 19:36 | FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 19:36 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.0339999838 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 04:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 17:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 06:06 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-18 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 22:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 08-18 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 13:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-17 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |