0x9BaA9c5E9f5671043b08Cc47c89556904Fb43f2b-1724498038038
0x9baa9c5e9f5671043b08cc47c89556904fb43f2b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $400.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.825 | 0.951 | $152.10 | +$20.10 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.050 | $83.33 | −$16.66 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.138 | $63.95 | +$43.95 |
| Will Chris Minns be the next Premier of New South Wales? · Yes | 0.658 | 0.570 | $46.71 | −$7.24 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.035 | $29.58 | +$9.58 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.162 | $24.30 | +$3.30 |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$42.69 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.53at 0.391Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$28.21at 0.780US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$27.98at 0.038Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$16.52at 0.690U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
- +$4.15at 0.890Nothing Ever Happens: November
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 07:55 | Will Chris Minns be the next Premier of New South Wales? | BUY | 0.6583715027 | $53.95 |
| 08-12 01:10 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SELL | 0.0774002105 | $54.41 |
| 08-12 00:03 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.5256940573 | $42.73 |
| 08-11 20:41 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 20:39 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.4251431637 | $200.00 |
| 06-21 02:11 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $321.87 |
| 04-25 04:18 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $28.75 |
| 04-21 10:24 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.391049486 | $144.68 |
| 04-21 10:24 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.054201756 | $22.00 |
| 01-22 22:19 | Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8248950874 | $132.00 |
| 01-22 22:12 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.48 | $98.94 |
| 01-22 22:08 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $101.00 |
| 01-22 22:06 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.06597511 | $65.98 |
| 11-10 20:12 | Nothing Ever Happens: November | BUY | 0.8899999981 | $33.56 |
| 11-10 20:11 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |