8DDD
0x9ba7ae7ae11df2477c567d6a5aeb5b3bc9cf00ef
- Realised P&L
- $-45.2k
- Volume
- $2.58M
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $91.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.8kat 0.402Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$19.0kat 0.194Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.8kat 0.300France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$12.2kat 0.750Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$11.6kat 0.113Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:42 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4354149948 | $569.72 |
| 11-01 15:14 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.25 | $8.4k |
| 11-01 00:00 | UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.91 | $259.35 |
| 10-31 23:21 | UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.61 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 23:01 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $120.00 |
| 10-31 22:19 | Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $27.36 |
| 10-31 22:19 | Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.1030819174 | $50.17 |
| 10-31 19:29 | UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.63 | $109.62 |
| 10-31 14:01 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.18 | $12.80 |
| 10-31 12:49 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.33 | $258.48 |
| 10-31 12:16 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | SELL | 0.36 | $161.89 |
| 10-30 22:11 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.46 | $685.68 |
| 10-30 22:08 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.49 | $817.61 |
| 10-30 21:28 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.36 | $347.04 |
| 10-30 21:05 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.49 | $980.00 |