0x9B9fd13B79F0d97733cc1D2d984874DB42dC018F-1769941723999
0x9b9fd13b79f0d97733cc1d2d984874db42dc018f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $88.5k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $1.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.004 | $0.95 | −$99.05 |
| Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · No | 0.625 | 0.001 | $0.16 | −$199.84 |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$580.00 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$358.00 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · No | 0.493 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$809.97 |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · No | 0.644 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.460Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$578.11at 0.306Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$564.10at 0.653Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$534.74at 0.772Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$530.69at 0.628Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 08:16 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6238859152 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 08:16 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6261718336 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 07:36 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 14:15 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0675480305 | $30.00 |
| 07-25 14:29 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0502885401 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 12:39 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 07-12 04:47 | Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 07-11 23:21 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.145 | $14.50 |
| 07-11 20:08 | Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6 | $180.00 |
| 07-11 12:25 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4224999988 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 12:03 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 07-11 12:00 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 11:57 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.84 | $336.00 |
| 07-10 21:12 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6 | $240.00 |
| 07-10 21:05 | Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5999999998 | $500.00 |