PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

xfgjud

0x9b9914c0e782cb63fca463c5bd85d65bad290b5f

Realised P&L
$-24.84
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$2.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? · No0.9501.000$1.10+$0.05
Will US births in 2026 be less than 3.50 million? · No0.9800.998$1.02+$0.02
USD0 depeg by December 31? · Yes0.7800.060$0.09−$1.13
Will Cach Mercer win Love Island season 12? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during call with Service Members on November 27? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$1.46
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Lowe's Companies (LOW) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 05:33Will US births in 2026 be less than 3.50 million?BUY0.98$1.00
10-28 05:33Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?BUY0.95$1.00
10-28 05:32Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?SELL0.78$0.78
10-28 05:32Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?BUY0.95$1.00
10-28 05:30Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.987$301.17
10-28 05:29Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.957$295.37
10-26 07:16Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.972$300.00
10-26 07:15Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.999$300.00
10-26 07:13Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9910056885$300.00
10-26 07:13Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.982$294.60
10-26 07:12Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9919999995$300.00
07-07 05:48Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$80.47
07-07 05:47Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.998$69.93
06-26 08:19Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.993$80.00
06-26 08:19Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$79.36