PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nivol

0x9b986267772c77752f7d9b3751bffc717cb5f470

Realised P&L
$-66.84
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$4.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23? · Yes0.9000.989$4.94+$0.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$2.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down0.2640.000$0.00−$5.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$1.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$1.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$2.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00−$2.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.1280.000$0.00−$12.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$2.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$1.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 20:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.5$5.00