Nivol
0x9b986267772c77752f7d9b3751bffc717cb5f470
- Realised P&L
- $-66.84
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $4.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.88at 0.334Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$2.62at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$2.55at 0.240Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?
- +$1.60at 0.680Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?
- +$1.33at 0.867Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |