Solmir82
0x9b93fa2af1d88db6881f92da920f2674a5880163
- Realised P&L
- $87.76
- Volume
- $96.6k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $315.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$379.13at 0.720Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$346.88at 0.042Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$314.84at 0.878Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$178.00at 0.110Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 29-January 4?
- +$167.11at 0.661Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 07:46 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%? | BUY | 0.636 | $116.41 |
| 10-06 19:45 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.73 | $58.40 |
| 10-06 15:36 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.64 | $56.83 |
| 09-29 09:02 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $104.53 |
| 09-16 07:53 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 12%-15%? | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $380.27 |
| 09-16 07:51 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8373784625 | $384.83 |
| 08-22 07:30 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.42 | $13.02 |
| 08-20 17:51 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-20 13:04 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-20 09:14 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.347 | $34.70 |
| 08-20 08:26 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.41165 | $8.23 |
| 08-15 10:36 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.7558011026 | $27.00 |
| 07-19 09:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5909999988 | $98.81 |
| 06-26 15:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8489999997 | $177.97 |
| 06-21 12:55 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |