PolyBot

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Traders

Solmir82

0x9b93fa2af1d88db6881f92da920f2674a5880163

Realised P&L
$87.76
Volume
$96.6k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$315.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%? · No0.6360.748$136.91+$20.50
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? · Yes0.7600.815$112.09+$7.56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.7300.835$66.80+$8.40
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 29-January 4? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$31.50
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$7.50
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$2.42
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$371.44
Lighter Airdrop on December 28? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$8.40
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · BoomBoys0.3470.000$0.00−$34.70
No airdrop in 2025? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00−$42.90
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner · TEAM VISION0.4120.000$0.00−$8.23
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$21.28
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$8.00
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$47.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:46Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 60%-65%?BUY0.636$116.41
10-06 19:45Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.73$58.40
10-06 15:36Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.64$56.83
09-29 09:02Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?BUY0.7599999985$104.53
09-16 07:53Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 12%-15%?BUY0.7399999995$380.27
09-16 07:51Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.8373784625$384.83
08-22 07:30Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.42$13.02
08-20 17:51Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.999$49.95
08-20 13:04Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$29.97
08-20 09:14Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.347$34.70
08-20 08:26Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.41165$8.23
08-15 10:36Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group StageBUY0.7558011026$27.00
07-19 09:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5909999988$98.81
06-26 15:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8489999997$177.97
06-21 12:55Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.1399999787$5.00