NiroElamo
0x9b7d974fc1df88a1c60a012e0045ec74f677ce86
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $103.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,621
- Open portfolio
- $30.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,621
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.96at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$64.01at 0.371Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$62.48at 0.137Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$58.84at 0.166Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$58.11at 0.171Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 10:59 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.38 |
| 09-19 07:39 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.77 | $5.53 |
| 09-19 06:50 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.89 |
| 09-19 06:50 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 09-02 08:51 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-02? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.86 |
| 09-02 08:45 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $5.74 |
| 07-19 22:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $93.59 |
| 07-16 17:08 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.583 | $61.58 |
| 06-14 05:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.166 | $33.08 |
| 06-04 14:22 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 14:16 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 13:56 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $10.17 |
| 06-01 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1? | SELL | 0.2516 | $12.58 |
| 06-01 04:38 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $10.80 |
| 06-01 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5445544414 | $10.00 |