Sylar012
0x9b7b804c3bf0342ea073c30244a0d0228e7bec5b
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $3.34M
- Markets traded
- 3,105
- Open portfolio
- $49.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,105
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.93at 0.986France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$91.16at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 7?
- +$85.39at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?
- +$73.51at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 31?
- +$52.12at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 09-22 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $69.78 |
| 09-22 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.47 |
| 09-22 08:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 09-22 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $831.16 |
| 09-22 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $604.99 |
| 09-22 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-22 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.42 |
| 09-22 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-22 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $288.13 |
| 09-22 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.998009901 | $1.0k |
| 09-22 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 09-22 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.87 |
| 09-22 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $157.39 |
| 09-22 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |