Sylar012
0x9b7b804c3bf0342ea073c30244a0d0228e7bec5b
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $946.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,079
- Open portfolio
- $38.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,079
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$301.75at 0.985France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$88.41at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?
- +$39.30at 0.927Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$31.54at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 16?
- +$20.03at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 08-04 14:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-04 14:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $279.72 |
| 08-04 12:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 08-04 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $278.92 |
| 08-04 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $479.38 |
| 08-04 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $799.20 |
| 08-04 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $599.40 |
| 08-04 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $819.13 |
| 08-04 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $254.89 |
| 08-04 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 08-04 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.49 |
| 08-04 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $351.84 |
| 08-04 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.5k |