Its2LateWhenYouSeeMe
0x9b7976158d0957c9b12f5c1f34cd5c0af461fbda
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $117.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.048 | $88.32 | −$923.68 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.045 | $29.09 | −$160.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.510Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
- +$204.39at 0.730Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
- +$29.38at 0.935TikTok sale announced in 2025?
- +$18.59at 0.860Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$16.89at 0.833Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-21 01:50 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | SELL | 0.6156516333 | $319.84 |
| 01-30 05:47 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 01-28 08:50 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $82.46 |
| 12-22 08:34 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 12-22 08:28 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.1290168775 | $281.13 |
| 12-22 08:18 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.9349569279 | $422.29 |
| 12-22 08:13 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | SELL | 0.0511406952 | $201.67 |
| 12-22 08:13 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | SELL | 0.0559418556 | $220.62 |
| 12-19 03:13 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.9624307718 | $500.00 |
| 12-19 03:12 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.2517531616 | $66.05 |
| 12-19 03:07 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.1772073832 | $34.66 |
| 12-19 00:05 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.1018445247 | $315.97 |
| 12-19 00:02 | TikTok sale announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.0907123408 | $250.00 |
| 11-08 04:07 | Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.95 |
| 11-08 04:06 | Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.86 | $101.88 |