PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8

0x9b71793208cf32a8c3c3289a778f3f4e41b8c042

Realised P&L
$-1.30
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$15.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.0030.057$5.49+$5.16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.009$1.27+$1.08
Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? · Yes0.0020.005$1.26+$0.76
Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? · Yes0.0040.017$0.99+$0.74
Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · Yes0.0040.017$0.82+$0.61
Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.005$0.71+$0.31
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in March 2027 (ET)? · Yes0.0040.009$0.70+$0.41
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yes0.0030.005$0.64+$0.24
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%? · Yes0.0040.012$0.54+$0.34
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.0020.002$0.46$0.04
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · No0.0030.004$0.45+$0.05
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0050.019$0.39+$0.29
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0040.004$0.27$0.03
Will United Russia win the next Krasnoyarsk Krai Parliament elections? · No0.0050.013$0.27+$0.17
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.0040.006$0.27+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.