Shneez
0x9b70ec69333b5bccef83a9fe8b2029f8430eebce
- Realised P&L
- $-30.62
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $107.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.034 | $28.33 | +$8.33 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.043 | $22.61 | −$2.39 |
| Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.087 | $22.12 | +$2.12 |
| Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.016 | $18.26 | +$1.26 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.030 | $16.05 | −$3.95 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$29.95 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.04at 0.710Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$0.68at 0.880Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$0.68at 0.880Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$0.56at 0.900Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 00:25 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.316999996 | $30.00 |
| 05-17 00:11 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0379999982 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 00:11 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0469999983 | $25.00 |
| 05-17 00:06 | Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0791167023 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 00:04 | Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.024 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 00:03 | Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0148978846 | $17.00 |
| 02-26 19:44 | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 02-26 19:43 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.529999965 | $4.84 |
| 02-25 01:06 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 00:54 | Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 00:53 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |