0x9b6edfa1105e4d82668186a83ac5e3f879dc1cea
0x9b6edfa1105e4d82668186a83ac5e3f879dc1cea
- Realised P&L
- $-77.04
- Volume
- $98.4k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $17.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$1.33at 0.441Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$1.32at 0.280Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 21?
- +$0.99at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 16:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-18 20:32 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 17:51 | Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 10-16 16:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-15 19:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-15 10:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-13 17:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.09 |
| 10-12 21:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 17:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:35 | Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:11 | Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |