clausemaster
0x9b68069343bf25b41353a740765031c84feeb64b
- Realised P&L
- $839.78
- Volume
- $54.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,090
- Open portfolio
- $23.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,090
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.203Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$41.00at 0.046Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$24.46at 0.026MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.93at 0.042Will Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?
- +$2.81at 0.041Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 11:46 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.18 |
| 10-30 11:46 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.045 | $1.67 |
| 10-30 11:46 | Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.077 | $1.54 |
| 10-30 11:45 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.061 | $2.28 |
| 10-25 23:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1119999999 | $55.00 |
| 10-25 23:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1729999999 | $170.00 |
| 10-25 23:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7724910034 | $171.30 |
| 10-17 23:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 12:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 00:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 04-11 13:00 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.00 |
| 04-11 13:00 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.02 |
| 04-11 13:00 | Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.03 |
| 04-11 13:00 | Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.03 |
| 04-11 12:59 | Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.03 |