stockbryun
0x9b668bd5665809559d06b1e7eb0f842ea916c76d
- Realised P&L
- $71.95
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $48.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · No | 0.979 | 0.978 | $48.88 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.50at 0.870Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$12.13at 0.740Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$8.52at 0.850Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
- +$8.25at 0.922Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$4.00at 0.960Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 06:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.60 |
| 02-27 07:05 | Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.55 |
| 01-05 05:48 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 01-05 05:48 | Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.851 | $12.77 |
| 12-22 02:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 12-22 02:02 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe | BUY | 0.979 | $48.95 |
| 12-22 02:02 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.00 |
| 12-22 02:01 | Will Kodiak launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.38 |
| 12-22 02:01 | Will Kodiak launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.06 |
| 12-22 02:01 | Will Kodiak launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.51 |
| 12-22 02:01 | Will Kodiak launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.33 |
| 12-22 02:00 | Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? | SELL | 0.992 | $59.52 |
| 11-11 08:12 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 11-11 08:11 | Tether insolvent in 2025? | SELL | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 07-11 07:04 | Tether insolvent in 2025? | BUY | 0.958 | $9.58 |